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Asia stocks: China rises on US trade talks, others muted amid India-Pak tensions

Most Asian stocks rose on Wednesday, with Chinese markets in the lead after the announcement of trade talks with the U.S. pushed up hopes for a deescalation in an ongoing trade war. 


Other markets were less upbeat, with Indian stocks squarely in focus after a military escalation with neighbor Pakistan earlier in the day. Indian stock futures, however, pointed to a positive open. 


Regional markets took a negative lead-in from Wall Street, which closed lower overnight after U.S. President Donald Trump signaled he was in no hurry to sign any trade deals. But U.S. stock index futures rose in Asian trade after the announcement of trade talks with China, with S&P 500 Futures adding 0.6%. 


Sentiment was also testy before the conclusion of a Federal Reserve meeting later on Wednesday, where the central bank is widely expected to keep rates steady and signal no changes in the near-term. 


Chinese stocks rise, Hong Kong rallies on trade talk cheer 

China’s Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 and Shanghai Composite indexes added about 0.5% each, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng blew past its regional peers with a 1.5% rise.


U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Trade Representative Jamieson Greer will meet their Chinese counterparts for trade talks when they travel to Switzerland this week, their respective offices said late-Tuesday. 


The announcement marks the clearest signal yet on trade negotiations between Beijing and Washington, after officials from both sides signaled some openness to talks last week. 


But whether this will result in immediate deescalation still remains to be seen, especially as Trump signaled he was in no hurry to sign a trade deal with any country.


Steep trade tariffs between the two countries– following an escalation in their trade war in April– still remained in place. A swathe of recent economic readings also showed both the U.S. and China were facing headwinds from the trade conflict. 


Chinese markets were also encouraged by the People’s Bank cutting a key reserve requirement ratio for local banks, which heralds more monetary stimulus for the economy.


Indian stocks set for strong open despite Pakistan military escalation

India’s Gift Nifty 50 Futures rose 0.5% in morning trade, heralding a positive open for the Nifty 50 even as tensions with Pakistan rose substantially on Wednesday.


India said it had carried out strikes against alleged terrorist encampments in Pakistan early on Wednesday, while Islamabad claimed to have retaliated with artillery strikes, and had also shot down five Indian planes. 


The spike in tensions between the two nuclear armed countries comes after a deadly terrorist attack in India’s Kashmir region last month, which New Delhi blamed on Pakistan. 


The renewed tensions represent the worst fighting between the two countries in over two decades, leaving investors on edge over a worsening in tensions. Indian stocks were also nursing losses in recent weeks on fears of an escalation.


Broader Asian stocks were mildly higher, with investors also skittish before the conclusion of a Fed meeting later in the day. 


Australia’s ASX 200 index rose 0.2%, while South Korea’s KOSPI added 0.4%.


Japan’s Nikkei 225 index rose 0.3%, while the TOPIX index added 0.4%.


Singapore’s Straits Times index shed 0.2%, weighed chiefly by losses in major bank UOB (SGX:UOBH), after it clocked softer-than-expected quarterly earnings. 

2025-05-07 12:05:27
US-China trade talks to formally begin this week

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Trade Representative Jamieson Greer will meet with their Chinese counterparts for trade negotiations in Switzerland this week, their offices said on Tuesday.


Both Bessent and Greer will meet with Swiss President Karin Keller-Sutter, and will also meet with their counterparts from the People’s Republic of China “to discuss trade matters,” their respective offices said in a statement. The two will travel to Switzerland on May 8.


“I look forward to productive talks as we work towards rebalancing the international economic system towards better serving the interests of the United States,” Bessent said in a statement. 


China’s Foreign Minister said that Vice Premier He Lifeng, Beijing’s lead official in U.S.-China trade matters, will meet Bessent in Switzerland, according to NBC. 


The talks mark a potential thaw in Sino-U.S. relations, after the two countries became embroiled in a bitter trade war through April. U.S. President Donald Trump had imposed 145% tariffs on Chinese goods, drawing retaliatory measures of 125% from Beijing. 


The tariff exchange had rattled global markets with the prospect of widespread economic disruptions, with recent data points from China and the U.S. already showing some deterioration. 


U.S. stock index futures- which had initially fallen on Tuesday evening- rose after the trade talks were announced. S&P 500 Futures were up 0.7% by 19:15 ET (23:15 GMT). 


The announcement of the talks in Switzerland comes following some encouraging comments from both Chinese and U.S. officials, that they were open to trade talks. Bessent has also repeatedly warned that the steep trade tariffs were unsustainable, and that he expects deescalation soon.


Still, whether the talks will result in a trade deescalation remains to be seen, especially with U.S.-China relations at their worst levels in years.

Trump also said on Tuesday that he was in no hurry to sign any trade deals, as his administration engaged in trade talks with a slew of countries. The U.S. president had announced steep "reciprocal" tariffs on several major trading partners in April, but had announced exemptions in the tariffs for all countries except China.
2025-05-07 10:05:03
Stock market today: S&P 500 slips on lack of US-China trade progress

The S&P 500 closed lower Tuesday as investors assessed a lack of updates on U.S.-China trade progress and awaited the Federal Reserve rate decision due Wednesday.  


At 4:00 p.m. ET (20:00 GMT), the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 397 points, or 1%, the S&P 500 index slipped 0.8%, and the NASDAQ Composite fell 0.9%. 


Trump says China willing to negotiate on trade, but stops shorts of signalling progress

 

President Donald Trump said China wanted to negotiate a trade deal to end the current trade war, but stopped short of signalling urgency to resolve the conflict, saying the U.S. and China would meet the right time.

 

Markets had briefly cut some losses on hopes of a major announcement on trade after Trump touted he would have "very, very big announcement to make," ahead of his administration’s trip to the Middle East. But the reprieve was short lived after Trump said the big announcement may "not necessarily" be on any trade-related development. 

Fed meeting looms large

The Fed kicks off its two-day meeting Tuesday, with the central bank expected to hold interest rates steady when it concludes on Wednesday.


Fed Chair Jerome Powell recently signalled that the policymakers are in a wait-and-see mode amid tariff concerns. This comes despite overt pressure from President Trump and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent to cut policy rates.


Given the decision is largely seen as a forgone conclusion, the focus will be on comments from Powell to get insights into the Fed’s future rate path.


A reading of activity in the key U.S. services sector, which accounts for more than two-thirds of the economy’s output, was stronger than anticipated, signaling that businesses may be able to shrug off headwinds from the tariffs. Still, a metric of prices paid by services companies rose, adding to worries that the duties could fuel inflationary pressures.


The U.S. goods and services deficit widened in March following an uptick in imports as businesses raced to lock in prices before the implementation of elevated tariffs.


Adjusted for seasonality but not price changes, the trade gap rose by 14.0% to $140.5 billion from a downwardly-revised $123.2 billion in February, according to data from the Commerce Department’s Bureau of Economic Analysis on Tuesday.


Corporate results continue

There have been a number of corporations releasing quarterly earnings Tuesday, as the first-quarter results season continued.


Ford (NYSE:F) stock rose more than 2% even as the auto giant slashed its full-year guidance, noting uncertainty around the outlook due to Trump’s tariffs.


Palantir Technologies (NASDAQ:PLTR) stock slumped about 12% after the artificial intelligence-focused data firm reported quarterly numbers that disappointed heightened market expectation, even as it lifted its annual sales guidance.


Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) stock fell more than1% after the EV manufacturer saw a significant drop in its sales volume in Germany in April, while new car sales in the United Kingdom dropped by 62% year-on-year, hitting their lowest point in over two years.


DoorDash (NASDAQ:DASH) stock fell more than 7% after the food delivery company’s first-quarter revenue fell short of estimates, while also confirming it has made a formal offer to acquire U.K. rival Deliveroo (LON:ROO).


Mattel (NASDAQ:MAT) stock added more than 2% despite the toymaker pausing its 2025 full-year guidance due to tariff uncertainty. The paused on guidance came as the company reported quarterly results that were better than feared.


(Peter Nurse, Ayushman Ojha contributed to his article.) 

2025-05-07 08:53:11
French manufacturing sector sees first output rise in nearly three years

After nearly three years, France’s manufacturing sector has experienced an increase in output, according to a survey published on Friday.


Increased military spending could potentially balance out the uncertainties caused by U.S. tariffs.


The final purchasing managers index (PMI), a key indicator of economic health in the manufacturing sector, rose to 48.7 in April from 48.5 in March. This information was compiled by S&P Global for the HCOB.


It is worth noting that the PMI is an important economic indicator, measuring the activity level of purchasing managers in the manufacturing sector.


A PMI above 50 represents an expansion when compared to the previous month, while a PMI under 50 represents a contraction.


The rise to 48.7, though still under 50, marks a significant improvement for France’s manufacturing sector.


This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.



2025-05-02 17:33:08
Japan says massive Treasury stockpile among tools for US trade talks

By Leika Kihara and Makiko Yamazaki


TOKYO (Reuters) -Japan could use its $1 trillion-plus holdings of U.S. Treasuries as a card in trade talks with Washington, its finance minister said on Friday, raising explicitly for the first time its leverage as a massive creditor to the United States.


While Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato did not threaten to sell holdings, his remarks touch on a critical concern global investors have about what Japan and China, the two largest owners of U.S. government debt, might do in seeking tariff concessions from the Trump administration.


The Treasury market saw a huge global sell-off last month after U.S. President Donald Trump’s decision on April 2 to slap sweeping tariffs on trading partners, including key strategic allies such as Japan.


Kato said in a television interview the primary purpose of Japan’s U.S. Treasury holdings - the largest in the world - is to ensure it has sufficient liquidity to conduct yen intervention when necessary.


"But we obviously need to put all cards on the table in negotiations. It could be among such cards," he said when asked whether Japan, in trade talks with the U.S., could reassure Washington it will not sell its Treasury holdings in the market.


"Whether we actually use that card, however, is a different question," Kato added.


The U.S. Treasury Department did not immediately respond to Reuters’ request for comment outside of office hours.


Kato’s remarks contrast with those he made last month, when he ruled out using Japan’s U.S. Treasury holdings in trade negotiations.


On Friday, Kato declined to comment on whether Tokyo’s U.S. bond holdings came up in his bilateral meeting with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent last week.


However, he said the huge market sell-off in Treasuries in April likely affected Washington’s approach in talks with Japan.


Japan’s and China’s presence in the Treasury market makes them a huge point of attention whenever U.S. yields spike, although little is known about their trading activity.


While Japan, as a close U.S. ally, is seen as less likely to use its Treasury holdings as a bargaining tool, some analysts speculate that China may liquidate its holdings as a "nuclear" option as trade tensions with the U.S. escalate.


So far, there are few signs of such a sell-off. Foreign holdings of U.S. Treasuries rose 3.4% in February, data from the Treasury Department showed last month, with the two largest owners, Japan and China, building up their U.S. debt positions.


But even hints of their huge market presence could be a key weapon for Japan, which otherwise has little leverage due to its economy’s huge reliance on the U.S. car market.


"Playing the card early, while the U.S. bond market is in the minds of the administration after recent weeks, is a smart move," said Martin Whetton, head of financial markets strategy at Westpac in Sydney. "They don’t have to do anything. But they can put themselves in a solid position to negotiate. It is, after all, the art of the deal."


Japan’s top trade negotiator, Ryosei Akazawa, said he deepened talks on trade, non-tariff measures and economic security cooperation in his second round of talks with Bessent in Washington on Thursday. He also said the two sides hoped to hold their next meeting in mid-May.


USE ALL TOOLS


The U.S. Treasury sell-off in April was among factors that led Trump to announce a 90-day pause on his "reciprocal" tariff plan, with Bessent likely playing a key role, according to sources close to the White House.


Aside from the tariffs, Japan has also faced criticism from Trump that it was intentionally weakening the yen to give its exports a trade advantage - an accusation Tokyo denies.


Kato said his meeting with Bessent last week did not discuss any desirable exchange rate or a possible framework to control currency moves.


Analysts say Japan’s huge Treasury holdings can also be used as a bargaining tool in any differences Washington has with Tokyo over currencies.


"(It) should be a card if not an ace card for the negotiation," said Naka Matsuzawa, chief macro strategist at Nomura Securities in Tokyo. "It would work not only to flatten the (bond yield) curve in the two countries but also avoid other outrageous requests such as artificial yen appreciation."


But there are at the same time limits to such threats as unloading Treasuries would hurt Japan and China by disrupting markets and causing huge losses on their remaining holdings.


Given the hit Japan and China themselves would suffer from selling their U.S. Treasury holdings, the idea was an "absolute non-issue in the past," said Nathan Sheets, former U.S. undersecretary for international affairs who is currently global chief economist at Citi Research.


"But countries have to use all the tools they have," he said. "The fact that we need to think about something like that shows the world we’re in."


2025-05-02 15:41:04
Asian stocks rise on signs of easing Sino-US trade tensions
By Ankur Banerjee

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - Asian stock markets and U.S. futures rose on Friday as signs of possible trade talks between the U.S. and China lifted risk sentiment after lacklustre earnings from tech bellwethers Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) and Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) fuelled worries about the impact of tariffs.

China’s commerce ministry said on Friday the United States has repeatedly expressed its willingness to negotiate on tariffs and that Beijing’s door is open for talks.

The comments helped U.S. stock futures reverse course from earlier falls after Apple trimmed its share buyback program and warned tariffs could add about $900 million in costs this quarter.

Futures for S&P 500 rose 0.6% while those for Nasdaq were 0.3% higher. Japan’s Nikkei gained 1% on a weaker yen and Taiwan stocks surged 2%.

MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 0.4%.

"They’ve struck a cautious tone, demanding that the U.S. ’show sincerity’ if they want trade talks," said Matt Simpson, senior market analyst at City Index. 

"So while olive branch has been offered, you can hardly say China has ’come crawling’ like Trump had hoped."

Still, investor sentiment turned up on the comments as markets continue to grapple with President Donald Trump’s erratic tariff policies that have sparked fears of a sharp global economic downturn.

Data this week showed the U.S. economy shrank for the first time in three years in the first quarter, while China’s factory activity contracted at the fastest pace in 16 months in April.

Joseph Capurso, head of international and sustainable economics at Commonwealth Bank of Australia (OTC:CMWAY), said the main impact on the economy from tariffs will be felt when consumer prices rise.

"A recession will become likely if the price increases encourage consumers to cut spending and businesses to shrink workforces and cut capital spending.  While a recession is not our baseline, it will be a close call this year."

The earnings season so far has underscored the cost of the rapidly shifting U.S. trade policy with many companies slashing or pulling their profit forecasts.

Still, while investors were disheartened by the earnings from Apple and Amazon, strong results from Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) and Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META) earlier in the week had raised hopes that the tech industry could weather the tariff storm.

In the currency markets, the Japanese yen weakened to its lowest level since April 10 on Friday, a day after Bank of Japan lowered growth forecasts due to U.S. tariffs and left interest rates on hold. It was last at 145.62 per dollar.

Fred Neumann, chief Asia economist at HSBC, said the impact of tariff uncertainty on the global economy could pose indirect challenges to growth in Japan.

"The BOJ is keeping the door open for further rate hikes, but at this point the door is only slightly ajar."

That left the U.S. dollar on course for its strongest weekly performance since the end of February ahead of the crucial non-farm payrolls data later in the day. The dollar index, which measures the U.S. currency against six other units, was last at 100.14. [FRX/]

Nonfarm payrolls likely increased by 130,000 jobs last month after rising by 228,000 in March, a Reuters survey of economists showed.

Japanese Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato said on Friday the country’s huge $1 trillion-plus in U.S. Treasury holdings are among the tools available for Tokyo to use in trade negotiations with the United States.

The remark came as Japan’s top trade negotiator Ryosei Akazawa met with U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent in Washington for a second round of bilateral tariff talks.

In commodities, gold prices eased to $3,234.9 per ounce, on course for its weakest weekly performance in two months due to slowing safe-haven demand.

Oil prices jumped after Trump threatened secondary sanctions on Iran. Brent crude futures rose 0.56% while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures gained 0.6%.

2025-05-02 12:30:54
South Korea April inflation +2.1% y/y, slightly above forecast

SEOUL (Reuters) -South Korea’s consumer prices rose 2.1% in April over a year, slightly above market expectations, official data showed on Friday.


That compared with a 2.1% rise in March and 2.0% tipped in a Reuters poll of economists.


The consumer price index rose 0.1% on a monthly basis, after rising 0.2% in the previous month. It was the slowest since November 2024.

2025-05-02 10:13:12
Stock market today: S&P 500 surges a

The S&P 500 rose Thursday as robust earnings from Microsoft and Meta Platforms, provided fresh signs that the artificial intelligence boom is far from over, fueling gains across stocks. 


At 4:00 p.m. ET (20:00 GMT), the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 82 points, or 0.6%, the S&P 500 index added 0.6%, and the NASDAQ Composite gained 1.5%.


Microsoft, Meta surge after strong Q1 results

Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META) shares jumped more than 4% after quarterly results and guidance topped consensus. The parent company of Facebook and Instagram anticipated full-year 2025 capital expenditures in the range of $64-$72 billion, increased from their prior guidance of $60-65 billion. 


"We believe the higher level of investment is justified, as the infusion of AI capabilities across the company’s ad stack and content recommendation engines are already driving tangible benefits for Meta’s Family of Apps and Reality Labs," Wedbush said in a Thursday note.


Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) shares surged more than 7% after the software giant’s first-quarter revenue increased 13%. It also forecast cloud-computing revenue growth of 34% to 35% for the fiscal fourth quarter.


"Microsoft surprised with a much better-than-expected top-line performance, saying that through late-April they had not seen any material demand pressure from the macro/tariff issues," RBC said in a Thursday note.


There are more corporate earnings to digest Thursday, with the highlights being from iPhone-maker Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) and e-commerce titan Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) after the close.


Elsewhere, McDonald’s (NYSE:MCD) stock fell more than 1% after the fast food giant posted a surprise decline in first-quarter global comparable sales, with CEO Chris Kempczinski adding the company was navigating the "toughest of market conditions."


Eli Lilly (NYSE:LLY) stock dropped 11% after the drugmaker posted disappointing sales of its popular weight-loss drug, Zepbound.


Biogen (NASDAQ:BIIB) stock rose slightly after the drugmaker beat first-quarter profit and revenue expectations, as strong demand for its rare disease drugs helped offset declining sales of its multiple sclerosis drugs.


Estee Lauder (NYSE:EL) stock fell more than 11% after flagging ongoing challenges in its travel retail business and subdued consumer sentiment in Asia.


Initial claims rise

The number of Americans filing new applications for unemployment benefits increased more than expected last week, as initial claims for state unemployment benefits jumped 18,000 for the week ended April 26, the Labor Department said on Thursday. 


This potentially hinted at a pick-up in layoffs from tariffs, which weighed on the economy in the first quarter, ahead of Friday’s key nonfarm payrolls report.


The economy contracted last quarter for the first time in three years, swamped by a flood of imports as businesses tried to avoid duties from President Donald Trump’s tariffs.


(Ayushman Ojha contributed to this article.)

2025-05-02 09:18:50
Oil drops, poised for biggest monthly fall in three years

By Siyi Liu


SINGAPORE (Reuters) -Oil prices extended declines on Wednesday and were set for their largest monthly drop in more than three years as the global trade war eroded the outlook for fuel demand, while fears of mounting supply also weighed.


Brent crude futures fell by 75 cents, or 1.17%, to $63.50 per barrel by 0641 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures dropped 79 cents, or 1.31%, to $59.63 a barrel.


Brent and WTI have lost 15% and 17% respectively so far this month, the biggest percentage drop since November 2021.


Both benchmarks slumped after U.S. President Donald Trump’s April 2 announcement of tariffs on all U.S. imports. They then sank further to four-year lows as China responded with its own levies against U.S. imports, stoking a trade war between the top two oil-consuming nations.


Trump’s tariffs on imports into the U.S. have made it probable the global economy will slip into recession this year, according to a Reuters poll.


China’s factory activity contracted at the fastest pace in 16 months in April, a factory survey showed on Wednesday.


Worries about demand amid the trade war have weighed on investor sentiment, said ANZ bank senior commodity strategist Daniel Hynes.


"There are also concerns that recent strength in U.S. economic data was only temporary, due to stockpiling ahead of the tariffs that now appears to be abating," he added.


U.S. consumer confidence slumped to a nearly five-year low in April on growing concerns over tariffs, data showed on Tuesday.


Recent signs of a de-escalation in the trade wars, including a pair of orders Trump signed on Tuesday to soften the blow of his auto tariffs, eased some jitters among global investors.


That said, analysts believe the oil market will stay under pressure as the Trump administration continues to prioritise lower oil prices to manage inflation.


Oil prices were also undermined by fears of mounting supply from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and their allies, known as OPEC+.


Several OPEC+ members will suggest a ramp-up of output hikes for a second straight month in June, sources told Reuters last week. The group will meet on May 5 to discuss output plans.


On the supply front, {{8849|U.S. crcrude oil inventories rose by 3.8 million barrels last week, market sources said on Tuesday citing American Petroleum Institute data. [API/S]


U.S. government data on stockpiles is due at 10:30 a.m. ET (1430 GMT) on Wednesday. Analysts polled by Reuters expect, on average, an 400,000 barrel increase in U.S. crude oil stocks for last week. [EIA/S]

2025-04-30 17:00:29
China pivots to Europe for used cooking oil exports as tariffs hit shipments to US

By Chen Aizhu and Trixie Yap


SINGAPORE (Reuters) -China’s used cooking oil (UCO) exports to the United States, its largest buyer, are set to plunge in coming months due to steep tariffs, forcing sellers to divert shipments to Europe and elsewhere, industry players said.


With Trump administration is now charging 125% import tariff on Chinese UCO from this month. Shipments to the U.S., valued at $1.1 billion last year, are tumbling with the last cargoes sailing around late March and early April before trade grinds to a halt, said three China-based UCO traders.


China’s UCO exports hit an all-time high last year at nearly 3 million metric tons or worth $2.64 billion, according to Chinese customs.


"For the time being, arbitrage to the U.S. is closed and we think it will remain so for the medium term," said Richard Dickinson, Shanghai-based head of trading Amarus Trading, one of the largest dealers of Chinese UCO.


"Some of the exports will be diverted to Europe and new markets in Asia such as Korea, Thailand, Malaysia and India."


At least four new Sustainable Aviation Fuel facilities, which use UCO as an ingredient and totalling at least 700,000 metric tons per year of production capacity, have started up or will begin operation by this year in Thailand, Malaysia and Japan, according to industry insiders.


Exports to the U.S. have fallen since last December as Beijing removed tax rebates for UCO exports and also due to the new U.S. clean fuel tax policy that discourages the use of imported UCO, and the latest tariffs only exacerbates the situation, a shipper of the fuel said.


The European Union, which mandated a 2% SAF use this year, is likely to become the top destination for at least half of China’s UCO shipments in the coming months, the traders said.

CHINA DEMAND UP

Chinese UCO exports is expected to fall this year as demand from its nascent SAF sector rises, traders and biofuel industry officials.

Dickinson and another Beijing-based senior biofuel trader estimated China’s UCO exports to ease to 150,000 to 200,000 tons each month from April onward, 20-40% below the average monthly shipments in 2024.

The other sources declined to be named as they are not authorised to speak to the media.

New SAF plants such as Zhejiang Jiaao Enprotech launched late 2024 and several other plants starting or slated for start-up in the coming few months - owned by Haixin Energy Technology, Haike Chemical in Shandong and Blue Whale Bioenergy in Zhejiang - are set to become new UCO users, according to industry sources familiar with these plants.

 Chinese SAF producers are using 100,000 to 120,000 tons of UCO a month currently, a volume set to climb as new plants begin operations, according to industry estimates.

China began a pilot scheme last September of SAF use at four domestic airports in Beijing, Chengdu, Zhengzhou and Ningbo.
2025-04-30 16:12:07