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Asia stocks rebound on Trump tariff delays; Chinese levies still on tap

Investing.com– Asian stocks bounced back on Tuesday after U.S. President Donald Trump postponed trade tariffs on Canada and Mexico, easing some market concerns, though caution persisted ahead of the impending tariffs on Chinese imports.


Regional equities recovered most of the ground after steep declines on Monday, which stemmed from Trump’s tariff announcement. 


U.S. stock index futures were also higher in Asian trade after Wall Street ended lower on Monday.


Asia stocks jump as tariff delays ease immediate concerns

Trump had announced a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico, alongside a 10% levy on Chinese goods, effective February 4. 


However, following discussions with Canadian and Mexican counterparts, Trump agreed to postpone the tariffs on Mexico and Canada by 30 days.


Asian stocks were higher as the postponement eased immediate trade war concerns and reduced the risk of supply chain disruptions. 


Markets also view the delay as a potential window for further negotiations, reducing uncertainty in the short term.


Japan’s Nikkei 225 index jumped 1.5%, while TOPIX rose 1.4%.


South Korea’s KOSPI index climbed 1.8%, rebounding from its lowest level since early January.


Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 index gained 0.4%, while Philippine’s PSEi Composite jumped 2%.


Elsewhere, Futures for Nifty 50 indicated a marginal rise at open, while Thailand’s SET Index fell 0.8%, bucking the regional trend.


Chinese tariffs still on tap; Hong Kong stocks surge on AI optimism

Chinese markets were closed for the Lunar New Year holiday and will resume trade on Wednesday this week.


The implementation of U.S. tariffs on Chinese imports was still scheduled to take effect later in the day.


However, markets shrugged off most concerns about levies on China, in anticipation of future negotiations and local stimulus measures.


Additionally, with only the 10% tariff set to take effect, investors anticipate less severe economic fallout than initially feared.


This sentiment was reflected in Hong Kong stocks, with Hang Seng index jumping 3% on Monday.


Hong Kong-listed Chinese tech stocks surged on optimism around local artificial intelligence (AI) models like DeepSeek and Alibaba's (HK:9988) Qwen. 


Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (HK:0981) (SMIC) shares led the gains with a 7.2% rise, while Xiaomi (HK:1810) and Alibaba stock rose 5%, each.

2025-02-04 12:54:36
Trump to pause tariffs on Canada for 30 days

Investing.com -- President Donald Trump is set to pause tariffs on Canada for 30 days on following a call with Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau in which the two leaders struck a deal to reinforce the U.S.-Canada border and implement measures to stem the flow of illegal drugs in the United States.


Trump's proposed tariffs of 25% on imported goods from Canada goods, which was set to come into effect on Tuesday, "will be paused for at least 30 days while we work together," Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said on Monday. 


The updates comes on heels of Trump reportedly saying that the call with Trudeau went "very well."


Mexico struck a similar concession with Trump earlier Monday, also averting a 25% tariff that was set for Tuesday.  Attention now turns to the U.S.-China call, which Trump said should get underway over the next 24 hours. Ahead of the call Trump warned that he could hike tariffs on China beyond the 10% levy he announced on Sunday, but markets are hoping that the two nations can agreed to measures that would avoid another U.S.-China trade war.



2025-02-04 11:10:03
Brazil's real sets longest streak of gains in 20 years

SAO PAULO - Brazil's real closed trading on Monday stronger versus the U.S. dollar for the 11th consecutive session, marking its longest streak of gains since April 2005.


The Brazilian currency closed at 5.8159 reais per greenback, the strongest since Nov. 26, when it closed at 5.8096 reais per dollar. 


It weakened more than 1% against the dollar in early morning trading on Monday before reversing those losses after U.S. President Donald Trump agreed to pause tariffs on Mexico for a month, with the real closing 0.3% stronger.


Brazil's real weakened more than 20% last year against the U.S. dollar, after a sell-off in the final months of 2024 drove the Latin America currency to its weakest-ever amid investor distrust of the Brazilian government's fiscal policy and an outflow of resources.


Year-to-date, the Brazilian real has strengthened by nearly 6%.


2025-02-04 09:20:52
Trump to cut off funding for South Africa over expropriation act

Among industrial metals, benchmark copper futures on the London Metal Exchange fell 1.1% to $8,944.25 a ton, while March copper futures fell 1.9% to $4.1960 a pound.


Copper was also pressured by softer-than-expected private purchasing managers index data from top importer China, as business activity remained soft in the first month of 2025. 


JPMorgan reiterates bull case for gold 

JPMorgan analysts said in a Monday note that they maintained their bullish view on gold in the medium-term, stating that risk aversion in broader markets could still drive investors into the yellow metal. 


The investment bank still expects gold to rise to $3,000 an ounce by late-2025, stating that lower U.S. interest rates and a stabler, albeit slower economy, will drive flows into the yellow metal. 


JPM is set to deliver about $4 billion worth of gold against futures contracts in February. The investment bank is by far the largest dealer of gold in the world.


During his first administration, Trump said the U.S. would investigate unproven large-scale killings of white farmers in South Africa and violent takeovers of land. Pretoria at the time said Trump was misinformed. It is unclear whether the Trump administration carried out an investigation.

Trump's close ally Elon Musk was born in South Africa. In 2023, Musk replied on X to a video of a far-left South African political party singing an old anti-apartheid song, "Kill the Boer (farmer)", by stating: "They are openly pushing for genocide of white people in South Africa."

"@CyrilRamaphosa, why do you say nothing?" Musk asked.

Musk met Ramaphosa in the U.S. in September last year where they discussed investment in South Africa.
2025-02-03 16:22:45
Gold prices fall from record highs as Trump tariffs boost dollar

Investing.com-- Gold prices fell from record highs on Monday, coming under pressure from a sharp rise in the dollar after U.S. President Donald Trump imposed trade tariffs on China, Canada, and Mexico. 


But the yellow metal’s decline is expected to be short-lived, given that it was sitting on a strong run-up over the past week, as a rout in global equity markets and anticipation of Trump’s tariffs ramped up safe haven demand. 


The dollar surged to a near one-month high, and was back in sight of an over two-year peak after the tariffs were confirmed. 


Spot gold fell 0.7% to $2,780.56 an ounce, while gold futures expiring in April fell 0.8% to $2,810.30 an ounce by 23:38 ET (04:38 GMT). Spot prices hit a record high of $2,817.57 an ounce last week. 


Gold pressured by dollar spike as tariffs point to higher inflation

Trump imposed 25% tariffs on Canadian and Mexican imports, along with a 10% duty on China. All three countries balked at the tariffs and vowed retaliation.


Trump had largely telegraphed the tariffs last week, before signing an executive order imposing them on Saturday. The tariffs will take effect from Tuesday.


The dollar rose sharply on the tariff news, pressuring metal markets. 


Analysts were seen warning that the trade tariffs were likely to factor into higher U.S. inflation, giving the Federal Reserve less impetus to cut interest rates further. This could diminish gold’s long-term prospects, despite strong near-term safe haven demand.


Other precious metals retreated on this notion. Platinum futures fell 1.9% to $1,024.0 an ounce, while silver futures fell 1.5% to $31.795 an ounce. Both metals, like gold, had also risen sharply last week.


Among industrial metals, benchmark copper futures on the London Metal Exchange fell 1.1% to $8,944.25 a ton, while March copper futures fell 1.9% to $4.1960 a pound.


Copper was also pressured by softer-than-expected private purchasing managers index data from top importer China, as business activity remained soft in the first month of 2025. 


JPMorgan reiterates bull case for gold 

JPMorgan analysts said in a Monday note that they maintained their bullish view on gold in the medium-term, stating that risk aversion in broader markets could still drive investors into the yellow metal. 


The investment bank still expects gold to rise to $3,000 an ounce by late-2025, stating that lower U.S. interest rates and a stabler, albeit slower economy, will drive flows into the yellow metal. 


JPM is set to deliver about $4 billion worth of gold against futures contracts in February. The investment bank is by far the largest dealer of gold in the world.


2025-02-03 14:57:45
US stock futures tumble as Trump imposes trade tariffs
Investing.com-- U.S. stock index futures fell sharply on Sunday evening after President Donald Trump imposed trade tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China over the weekend, marking the start of a new global trade war.

Trump launched 25% duties against Canada and Mexico, and an additional 10% duty on China, calling on the countries to stem the flow of illegal drugs and immigrants into the U.S.

All three countries decried the tariffs and vowed retaliation. 

S&P 500 Futures slid 1.6% to 5,970.25 points, while Nasdaq 100 Futures fell 2.4% to 21,089.25 points by 18:10 ET (23:10 GMT). Dow Jones Futures fell 1.1% to 44,233.0 points. 

Losses in futures also came following a negative session on Wall Street on Friday, as PCE price index data grew as expected for December, indicating that U.S. inflation remained sticky. Trump’s tariffs are expected to add to inflation. 

Trump signs executive order imposing tariffs 
Trump on Saturday signed an executive order imposing the new trade tariffs, which will take hold from February 4. The tariffs will cover all imports from the three countries, although oil and gas imports from Canada will see a smaller duty.

Trump included a clause that will increase the tariffs should any of the mentioned countries retaliate, and also flagged the potential for greater tariffs, and a universal import duty, in the coming months. 

The dollar surged after his move, while the Canadian dollar and the Mexican peso both weakened substantially. Onshore trading in the yuan was closed for the Lunar New Year. 

Trump had largely telegraphed the tariffs over the past two weeks, giving markets some hopes that their impact would be priced in. But the sharp drop in futures suggested that this may not be the case, with Wall Street likely set for more weakness after last week’s rout. 

Analysts expect the tariffs to drive up U.S. inflation, given that they will be paid largely by domestic importers. Higher inflation diminishes the prospect of more interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve.

“The resulting surge in U.S. inflation from these tariffs and other future measures is going to come even faster and be larger than we initially expected… the window for the Fed to resume cutting interest rates at any point over the next 12 to 18 months just slammed shut,” analysts at Capital Economics wrote in a note. 

Wall St nurses losses on inflation jitters 
Sunday’s losses in futures came following a negative session on Wall Street, as data showing an in-line increase in PCE price index inflation rattled risk appetite.

The reading is the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, and rose further above the central bank’s 2% annual target in December. Sticky inflation further diminishes the chances of more interest rate cuts by the Fed, which had kept rates steady last week and struck a hawkish tone.

The S&P 500 fell 0.5% to 6,040.53 points on Friday, while the NASDAQ Composite fell 0.3% to 19,627.44 points. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.8% to 44,544.66 points. 

Wall Street was also rattled by losses in major technology stocks last week, following the release of China’s DeepSeek artificial intelligence model. This largely overshadowed several major tech earnings, as investors balked at forecasts of outsized capital investment in AI.

Quarterly prints from Alphabet Inc (NASDAQ:GOOGL) and Amazon.com Inc (NASDAQ:AMZN) are due this week, along with a slew of other major firms, including Alibaba Group Holdings (NYSE:BABA), AMD (NASDAQ:AMD), Walt Disney Company (NYSE:DIS), Qualcomm Incorporated (NASDAQ:QCOM), and Uber Technologies Inc (NYSE:UBER). 
2025-02-03 12:31:02
Yuan hits record low, Mexican peso, Canadian dollar tumble on Trump tariffs

By Kevin Buckland


TOKYO (Reuters) - China's yuan slumped to a record low in offshore trading on Monday, while Mexico's peso and Canada's dollar tumbled to multi-year troughs after U.S. President Donald Trump slapped the countries with tariffs, triggering fears of an escalating trade war.


The U.S. dollar's gain was broad, with the euro also dropping to a more than two-year low and the Swiss franc - despite typically acting as a safe haven - sliding to the weakest since May.


Canada and Mexico immediately vowed retaliatory measures, and China said it would challenge Trump's levies at the World Trade Organization.


Cryptocurrency bitcoin fell back below $100,000 to its lowest in nearly three weeks.


"The surprise for markets ... is that Canada and Mexico retaliated immediately and that others, i.e. China and the EU, may follow their lead, resulting in a sharp contraction in global trade," said Tony Sycamore, a market analyst at IG.


"The starting date of U.S. tariffs on Canada, Mexico and China of Feb. 4 was also much sooner than many had anticipated."


As Trump had promised last month, the United States hit Canada and Mexico with duties of 25% and China with a 10% levy, calling the measures necessary to combat illegal immigration and the drug trade.


The tariffs, outlined in three executive orders, are due to take effect 12:01 a.m. ET (0501 GMT) on Tuesday.


Trump's move was the first strike in a what could be a destructive global trade war that would result in a surge in U.S. inflation that would "come even faster and be larger than we initially expected," said Paul Ashworth of Capital Economics.


The U.S. dollar advanced 0.7% to 7.2552 yuan in the offshore market early in Asia's morning, having earlier pushed to the record high of 7.3765 yuan.

The U.S. currency climbed 2.3% to 21.15 Mexican pesos, crossing the 21-peso line for the first time since July 2022, and rose 1.4% to C$1.4755, a level not seen since 2003.

The euro plunged as much as 2.3% to $1.0125 - the lowest level since November 2022 - before recovering some composure to change hands at $1.0259. Europe is also potentially in Trump's tariff crosshairs.

The greenback added as much as 1.1% to 0.9210 Swiss franc, the highest since last May, before trading at 0.9142 franc.

Sterling fell 0.8% to $1.23.

Japan's yen was more resilient, trading flat at 155.25 per dollar.

Bitcoin was last about 4.4% lower at $97,622.
2025-02-03 10:31:28
Top 5 things to watch in markets in the week ahead

Investing.com - U.S. President Donald Trump imposes tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico, and China, exacerbating worries over the uncertain impact of an increase in global trade tensions. Google-parent Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL) and e-commerce giant Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) post quarterly returns, as well as weight-loss drugmakers Eli Lilly (NYSE:LLY) and Novo Nordisk (NYSE:NVO). Meanwhile, new U.S. jobs data could provide a fresh glimpse into the state of labor demand in the world's largest economy -- and potentially factor into the Federal Reserve's future interest rate path. Here's your look at what's happening in markets in the week ahead.


1. Trump imposes tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China


Tariffs, which have been a lingering source of uncertainty for markets in recent months, are set to be front of mind this week.


On Saturday, President Trump signed an executive order placing 25% levies on imports from Canada and Mexico, as well as a 10% duty on goods incoming from China. The White House has said there are "tentative plans" for the tariffs to come into effect on Tuesday.


Trump had earlier threatened these countries with a February 1 tariff deadline in order to push them to roll out actions to stem the flow of illegal immigrants and the opiate fentanyl into the U.S. However, before the weekend, Trump suggested that there was little these countries could do to avoid the levies, which could disrupt trillions of dollars in annual trade.


Some economists have argued that Trump's move may also drive up inflationary pressures in the U.S., potentially slowing the pace of possible Federal Reserve interest rate cuts this year. Indeed, Fed officials have adopted a wait-and-see approach to future monetary policy decisions, citing a murky economic outlook clouded by the prospect of tariffs.


Stock markets ended lower on Friday, weighed down by anxiety over Trump's trade stance. Analysts have widely flagged some type of a sell-off in equities on Monday.


2. Oil


The tariffs included a carve-out for energy products from Canada, with these items facing levies of 10%.


Crude oil makes up about a quarter of all imports the U.S. receives from Canada, worth roughly $100 billion in 2023, according to data from the U.S. Census Bureau cited by Reuters.


Trump added that his administration is also projected to announce wider tariffs linked to oil and natural gas around February 18, a comment that sparked a jump in oil prices in extended hours trading on Friday.


Last week, both the Brent and West Texas Intermediate crude benchmarks finished lower, as traders worried that a sharp uptick in fuel costs would dent global economic activity and broader energy demand.


3. Jobs data


Elsewhere, investors will have the chance to parse through fresh labor market data this week, including the January jobs report on Friday.


Economists forecast that the U.S. added 154,000 roles last month, down from a blockbuster 256,000 in December. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate is tipped to come in at 4.1%, matching the prior month's pace.


Average hourly earnings growth is seen at 0.3%, also equaling December's rate.


The figures will help to determine the state of labor demand in the beginning of the new year and may factor into how the Fed, which slashed interest rates several times in 2024, approaches monetary policy in the months to come.


Along with inflation remaining above the Fed's 2% target level, a robust jobs market helped underpin the central bank's decision last week to leave rates unchanged and signal that it was in no rush to bring borrowing costs down further.


4. Alphabet, Amazon to report


On the earnings front, more results from major technology companies are due out this week.


Highlighting the agenda is Google-parent Alphabet and e-commerce giant Amazon, which are set to unveil their quarterly figures on Tuesday and Thursday, respectively.


As it was with these companies' Big Tech peers Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) and Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META) last week, analysts will likely be keen to hear how Alphabet and Amazon executives view their artificial intelligence spending strategies following the emergence of a low-cost AI model from Chinese start-up DeepSeek.


DeepSeek said its model showed comparable performance to OpenAI's ChatGPT, but used less-advanced data and cost only around $6 million to build. Although doubts remains around the statement, it was enough to roil markets last week and pose questions around the necessity of billions of dollars in AI expenditures by some of Silicon Valley's most prominent businesses.


Semiconductor group Qualcomm (NASDAQ:QCOM) and chip designer Arm Holdings (NASDAQ:ARM) are also due to post their latest returns this week, as well as ride-hailer Uber (NYSE:UBER).


Beyond tech, drugmakers Eli Lilly (NYSE:LLY) and Novo Nordisk (NYSE:NVO), both of which have been at the forefront of a spike in popularity of new weight-loss treatments, are also expected to report.


5. Bank of England decision


The Bank of England holds its latest policy-setting meeting this week, and is widely expected to cut interest rates and hint at more reductions to come as the UK economy stagnates.


Economists anticipate the BoE will cut its benchmark rate to 4.5%, from 4.75%, on Thursday, when it will also update its economic growth and inflation forecasts.


Since the BoE published its last projections in November, the economy has stagnated and measures of inflation most closely watched by rate-setters dropped last month.


Analysts at Bank of America Securities have agreed with the consensus, expecting an 8-1 vote in favor of a reduction by the Monetary Policy Committee.


“The faster than expected drop in services inflation, weak growth and labor market loosening supports the case for a cut,” BOA analysts said, in a note dated January 31.

2025-02-03 09:18:43
European stocks edge higher; German retail sales disappoint

Investing.com - European stock markets edged higher Friday, with investors digesting more corporate earnings as well as regional inflation data after the European Central Bank’s latest easing of monetary policy.


At 03:05 ET (08:05 GMT), the DAX index in Germany climbed 0.1%, the CAC 40 in France gained 0.2% and the FTSE 100 in the UK rose 0.2%.


ECB boosts sentiment

Sentiment has been boosted by the decision of the European Central Bank to cut interest rates on Thursday, as widely expected, and to also keep the door open to further policy easing amid concerns over lackluster economic growth.


It was the fifth ECB rate cut since June and markets expect as many as three more reductions this year.


Further evidence of the difficulties the German economy, the largest in the eurozone, is suffering came with the release of the latest retail sales data, which showed a fall of 1.6% on the month in December.


Investors will also study preliminary inflation readings from Germany, after the French consumer price index for January rose below the ECB’s 2% medium term target.


Across the pond, December's core PCE price index in the United States - the Federal Reserve's preferred measure of inflation - is set for release later in the session, and could provide further clues on the central bank's rate outlook.


Novartis boosted by strong demand for key drugs

In the corporate sector, Novartis (SIX:NOVN) reported strong fourth-quarter results Friday, with the Swiss drugmaker citing strong demand for established heart failure drug Entresto and multiple sclerosis drug Kesimpta.


Salvatore Ferragamo (BIT:SFER) reported fourth-quarter 2024 sales that came in largely in line with expectations, but investors have been disappointed that the Italian luxury group hasn’t outperformed after rival LVMH’s strong numbers.

SKF (ST:SKFb) forecast a small drop in organic sales for the first quarter of 2025, and the Swedish manufacturing company decided against providing full-year forecasts, citing market uncertainty.

On Wall Street, Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) reported first-quarter results late Thursday that beat expectations as stronger services revenue offset weaker iPhone sales at a time when competition from smartphone rivals in China persists.   

Crude set for weekly losses 
Oil prices edged higher Friday, but were set for weekly losses as traders fretted over the prospect of trade tariffs under US President Donald Trump. 

By 03:05 ET, the US crude futures (WTI) gained 0.3% to $72.94 a barrel, while the Brent contract rose 0.1% to $75.99 a barrel.

Investors are contemplating the likelihood of US tariffs on Canadian and Mexican exports to the United States as early as Saturday if those two countries do not end shipments of fentanyl across US borders.

Additionally, Trump has threatened the BRICS group of countries - which includes top importer China - with 100% tariffs over their attempts to replace the US dollar. 

For the week, Brent is set to fall 1.6% while WTI has declined 1.8%. However, for the month of January, Brent is set to gain around 3%, its best month since June, and WTI is poised to climb 2.1%.
2025-01-31 17:18:54
Asia FX tumbles as Trump tariff threats rattle markets, Tokyo CPI in focus

Investing.com –Asian currencies declined on Friday, led by sharp losses in the South Korean won and Malaysian ringgit, as markets were rattled by fresh tariff threats from U.S. President Donald Trump, while the Japanese yen remained steady following strong inflation data from Tokyo.


Trump threatened that he would impose significant trade tariffs on BRICS nations should the bloc pursue plans to develop a common currency aimed at reducing reliance on the U.S. dollar.


The US Dollar Index was marginally higher in Asian trading hours on Friday, while Dollar Index Futures rose 0.4%.


The greenback was supported by expectations of slower rate cuts in 2025, and the lingering impact of Trump's tariff policies.


Trump's tariff threat sparks risk-off mood, Asia FX tumbles

Trump’s proposal to impose steep tariffs rattled markets, particularly export-reliant economies.


The South Korean won tumbled 0.8% against the U.S. dollar on Friday, with the USD/KRW pair set to rise nearly 2% for the week.


The Malaysian ringgit’s USD/MYR pair jumped 0.8%, and was on track for a 1% weekly gain.


Trump on Thursday reiterated his intention to implement a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico starting this Saturday, with potential additional tariffs on Chinese goods.


Additionally, he threatened that the BRICS bloc, which consists of Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, and others, could face “100% tariffs” if they move away from the dollar.


Earlier in the week, the U.S. Federal Reserve held rates unchanged and indicated that the policy would remain restrictive until inflation is fully tamed.


With expectations of higher-for-longer U.S. rates, and prospects of a stronger dollar, Asian currencies faced further downward pressure.. 


The Chinese yuan’s onshore pair USD/CNY inched 0.2% higher, while the offshore pair USD/CNH was largely muted.


The Singapore dollar’s USD/SGD pair inched 0.2% higher, while, the Indian rupee’s USD/INR pair ticked up 0.1%.


The Indonesian rupiah fell further, with the USD/IDR pair rising 0.4%, even after the Bank Indonesia intervened to Thursday to assure the markets of stable supply and demand in forex markets


The Australian dollar's AUD/USD pair inched 0.2% amid rate hike bets.


Japanese yen muted despite rate hike bets after Tokyo CPI

The Japanese yen’s USD/JPY pair was largely unchanged, in line with the broader mood, even as a strong inflation print from Tokyo kept rate hike bets alive.


Data on Friday showed that Tokyo's consumer price index (CPI) inflation rose as expected in January, reaching a nearly two-year high, driven by strong private spending.


Headline CPI inflation accelerated to 3.4% year-on-year, up from 3% in December, marking its highest level since April 2023, while core CPI, which excludes fresh food prices, increased 2.5% year-on-year, hitting an 11-month high.


With a strong inflation print, market participants firmed up interest rate hike bets, although the Bank of Japan is not expected to raise rates further until at least mid-2025.


2025-01-31 15:01:14